https://dspace.univ-ouargla.dz/jspui/handle/123456789/16094 2026-04-13T13:44:16Z https://dspace.univ-ouargla.dz/jspui/handle/123456789/16119 Titre: Impact du développement financier sur la croissance économique en Algérie Auteur(s): Zahir NASRI Résumé: La littérature économique relative à la relation entre le développement financier et la croissance économique est très variée. Il existe jusqu'à nos jours des débats considérables sur l'effet effectif de la finance dans la croissance du produit. Ces débats admettent l'existence d'une relation entre le développement financier et la croissance économique mais ils diffèrent sur les mécanismes de transmission de cette relation. Deux principaux courants peuvent être cités à cet effet. Le premier, représenté par Schumpeter (1912), Glod smith (1969), McKinnon (1973) et Shaw (1973), King et Levine (1993), défend une approche d'offre et voit que les marchés financiers jouent un rôle clef dans la croissance économique. La différence du niveau de croissance entre les pays s'explique par la qualité des services offerts par les institutions financières et la réglementation en vigueur. Le deuxième courant se place au contraire du côté de la demande et plaide en faveur d'un lien de causalité inverse. Il suppose que le niveau de croissance économique est le principal catalyseur de l'approfondissement financier. Le système financier ne fait que répondre d'une manière passive à la demande de services qui s'adresse à lui, Hugh, (1966), St Hill (1992), Pagano (1993), Joseph, Raffinot et Venet (1998). Description: Journal of Quantitative Economics Studies JQES 2017-01-01T00:00:00Z https://dspace.univ-ouargla.dz/jspui/handle/123456789/16097 Titre: The relationship between the return and the systemic risk in the Moroccan Stock Exchange Auteur(s): عبد اللطيف مصيطفى; عبد الله عنيشل Résumé: This research aims to study the nature of the relationship between return and systemic risk in practice and the ability of the CAPM model، especially the aspect of Beta House، to explain the relationship between return and systemic risk. The study included 21 companies listed on the Casablanca Stock Exchange in Morocco during the period 02/01/2015 To 31/12/2016. The study concluded that the relationship between return and systemic risk lies in the beta coefficient، which reflects and diagnoses the systemic risks of the shares of companies. The latter gives the extent of the return of the financial asset compared to the market return. Reflective presence for a positive return between positive and systemic risk. Description: Journal of Quantitative Economics Studies JQES 2017-01-01T00:00:00Z https://dspace.univ-ouargla.dz/jspui/handle/123456789/16105 Titre: Forecasting of Normal Gasoline to the Naftal Firm -HMD- Auteur(s): هدى بن عبيد; فريد بن ختو Résumé: This study aims at forecasting the demand for regular gasoline at the National Corporation for Marketing and Distribution of Petroleum Products (Naftal HMD -Ouargla) based on the Box-Jenkins methodology. The time series data for regular gasoline sales were used in the period 2016/2006 by applying some statistical tests (ADF , PP) to determine the stability of the time series. We also used the statistical programs Eviews 9.0 and GRETEL 2.0 to estimate their monthly sales of ordinary gasoline by forecasting future sales for the first 10 months of 2017. The results showed that the normal model for regular gasoline sales is the SARIMA(2,1,1)12 (1,1,1) model and that the prediction follows the path of the original series, confirming the accuracy and statistical quality of the selected model as well as the predictive power Description: Journal of Quantitative Economics Studies JQES 2017-01-01T00:00:00Z https://dspace.univ-ouargla.dz/jspui/handle/123456789/16101 Titre: The Effectiveness of Economic Policies in Algeria in Light of Financial Globalization - An Analytical Study Using FP Methodology during the period (2000 – 2022) Auteur(s): عبد الغفور مزيان; أحمد سلامـي Résumé: The aim of this study is to analyze the correlations between the economic policies and financial globalization and to evaluate the mix of economic policies in Algeria, based on the financialprogrammingapproach.In light of financial globalization, short-term capital flows become volatile, the case that contradicts the developmental policies since these policies do best only if they are long termed. The results show thatanalysis of performance of economic policies in Algeria demonstrates the effect of the external shock related to drop in oil prices on national economy since the economic policies rely on hydrocarbon profits and therefore become vulnerable to changes in revenues and resources. So, the ideal mix of policies in Algeria is that one which allows the transfer of oil profits to alternative productiveassetscontributing in creating sustainable dynamics for the economy lasting after oil depletion. The study concluded that the economic policies seem to be directed to achieving sustainable economic stability rather than trying to establish a model for long term economic development that ensures a structural shift for the real production sectors. Description: Journal of Quantitative Economics Studies JQES 2017-01-01T00:00:00Z