اثر تقلبات أسعار النفط على النمو الاقتصادي في الأجل الطويل بالجزائر باستخدام مقاربة ( (ardl للفترة (1983-2016).

Abstract

This Study aims to identify an important aspect of the Algerian economy ,namely to clarify and explain the impact of oil price fluctuations on economic growth in Algeria, through a standard study of the annual data for the period 1983-2016, In order To achieve this goal, we relied on the Approach of self-regression of declaration Periods ( ARDL), using three intermediate variables besides oil prices exchange rates, money supply as a share of Gross domestic Product GDP, and exports as a percentage of GDP. The Study concluded that there is a strong impact of price fluctuations on Algeria's long-term, economic growth, as well as both money supply and exchange rates.