The macroeconomic effects of credit supply in Algeria: Evidence from a Restricted VAR analysis

Abstract

This paper reports evidence of credit supply impact on macroeconomic variables in Algeria. Using a restricted vector auto-regression model as well as employing Granger causality tests, impulse response functions and variance decomposition analysis, we examine the link between credit supply and some standard macroeconomic aggregates over 2001:1Q-2017:4Q period in Algeria. The main findings of the study reveal the relative ability of credit supply to explain the circumstantial fluctuations in the economic variables especially on labor rate, consumer price index and gross fixed capital formation